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American League West

Houston Astros

81-81 in 2026, won the division, -32 run differential. Home: Daikin Park.

The roster as it stands on 2026-11-05, projected for 2027. Preliminary: free agents are off rosters and offseason moves are still to come.

What Stands Out

Data Desk →
Expected wins
78.6
80% range
69–89
Rank
20 of 30
Lost to injury
2.1
Depth value
3.4
Left on table
0.0
Surplus
$119M
Value priced
86%
Committed to 2027
$195.6M
IL days, 2026
1,769 (13th-most)
IL placements, 2026
37
Players used, 2026
53 (7th-most)
Options, 2026
55
Waiver claims, 2026
4

Where the numbers go quiet: Bullpen. The regulars here have too little MLB history for public stats to say much.

The Long View

Wins by season

The line is this club; the shaded band runs from baseball's fewest wins to its most. 2020 was a 60-game season.

02550751001252000200520102015202020262000: 72 (clubs ranged 65 to 97)2001: 93 (clubs ranged 62 to 116)2002: 84 (clubs ranged 55 to 103)2003: 87 (clubs ranged 43 to 101)2004: 92 (clubs ranged 51 to 105)2005: 89 (clubs ranged 56 to 100)2006: 82 (clubs ranged 61 to 97)2007: 73 (clubs ranged 66 to 96)2008: 86 (clubs ranged 59 to 100)2009: 74 (clubs ranged 59 to 103)2010: 76 (clubs ranged 57 to 97)2011: 56 (clubs ranged 56 to 102)2012: 55 (clubs ranged 55 to 98)2013: 51 (clubs ranged 51 to 97)2014: 70 (clubs ranged 64 to 98)2015: 86 (clubs ranged 63 to 100)2016: 84 (clubs ranged 59 to 103)2017: 101 (clubs ranged 64 to 104)2018: 103 (clubs ranged 47 to 108)2019: 107 (clubs ranged 47 to 107)2020: 29 (clubs ranged 19 to 43)2021: 95 (clubs ranged 52 to 107)2022: 106 (clubs ranged 55 to 111)2023: 90 (clubs ranged 50 to 104)2024: 88 (clubs ranged 41 to 98)2025: 87 (clubs ranged 43 to 97)2026: 81 (clubs ranged 58 to 103)
Source: Roster Memo count of Retrosheet data and MLB standings

Players used by season

Players who appeared for the club; the band is the league's range.

3040506070802000200520102015202020252000: 46 (clubs ranged 36 to 56)2001: 45 (clubs ranged 35 to 53)2002: 41 (clubs ranged 35 to 59)2003: 44 (clubs ranged 34 to 57)2004: 42 (clubs ranged 36 to 58)2005: 36 (clubs ranged 36 to 55)2006: 39 (clubs ranged 37 to 57)2007: 41 (clubs ranged 40 to 54)2008: 41 (clubs ranged 39 to 59)2009: 42 (clubs ranged 41 to 56)2010: 48 (clubs ranged 37 to 57)2011: 47 (clubs ranged 42 to 55)2012: 50 (clubs ranged 38 to 56)2013: 50 (clubs ranged 39 to 56)2014: 48 (clubs ranged 39 to 64)2015: 46 (clubs ranged 40 to 60)2016: 43 (clubs ranged 41 to 60)2017: 46 (clubs ranged 41 to 61)2018: 41 (clubs ranged 41 to 63)2019: 45 (clubs ranged 43 to 67)2020: 43 (clubs ranged 38 to 61)2021: 52 (clubs ranged 45 to 69)2022: 45 (clubs ranged 43 to 68)2023: 41 (clubs ranged 41 to 66)2024: 55 (clubs ranged 44 to 70)2025: 60 (clubs ranged 44 to 71)
Source: Roster Memo count of Retrosheet data

Player-days on the injured list

Counted from transactions; the band is the league's range. The 10-day list began in 2017.

01,0002,0003,0004,0002015202020262015: 1,037 (clubs ranged 483 to 2,123)2016: 437 (clubs ranged 437 to 2,606)2017: 1,352 (clubs ranged 367 to 2,386)2018: 860 (clubs ranged 826 to 2,304)2019: 792 (clubs ranged 684 to 2,533)2020: 672 (clubs ranged 124 to 1,270)2021: 2,191 (clubs ranged 837 to 3,155)2022: 1,550 (clubs ranged 926 to 3,560)2023: 705 (clubs ranged 684 to 2,409)2024: 1,814 (clubs ranged 697 to 2,076)2025: 2,343 (clubs ranged 412 to 2,625)2026: 1,769 (clubs ranged 360 to 2,374)
Source: Roster Memo count of MLB transactions

Next Up

PlayerAgeLevelRoleProj. wins
Jose Guedez26AAPitcher1.3
Julio Rodriguez27AAPitcher1.2
Sam Carlson29AAAPitcher1.2
Nolan DeVos27AAPitcher1.2
Alex Santos II25AAPitcher1.2
Railin Perez26AAPitcher1.2
Jason Schiavone24AAHitter1.1
Amilcar Chirinos26AAPitcher1.0

Best-projected Triple-A and Double-A players in the organization who aren't on the 40-man, in wins per 600 PA or 150 IP. Thin samples are regressed hard.

Where the Money Goes

2027 cost tierPlayersCommitted
Contracts6$129.3M
Arbitration (est.)10$50.7M
Near the minimum20$15.6M
Not yet priced3–

Luxury-tax values where we have a sourced contract; arbitration figures are our estimates.

Biggest Weak Spots

Upgrade Board →
Spotvs. leagueFree agent optionWins gainedMarket est.
Left field-1.2Ian Happ+1.7$20.6M
Randy Arozarena+1.7$21.0M
Taylor Ward+1.6$19.4M
Center field-1.2Trent Grisham+1.8$34.2M
Tyrone Taylor+0.5$18.7M
Luis Robert Jr.+0.5$19.0M
Bullpen-1.1Adrian Morejon+1.4$22.6M
David Bednar+1.0$18.1M
Kris Bubic+0.9$16.7M

Options are inferred from recent transactions, so some may have signed elsewhere. Wins gained are cut to 90%, a factor tested on bench players and assumed here. Market estimates price projected wins at $10.8M each, not what a player would actually sign for.

The Depth Chart

Catcher3.1 wins, +0.1 vs. league

PlayerAgeShareWinsCost
Yainer Diaz2967%2.4~$10.2M est.
César Salazar °3132%0.7~$1.5M est.

First base0.6 wins, -0.7 vs. league

PlayerAgeShareWinsCost
Christian Walker3682%0.6$20.0M
Isaac Paredes286%0.1not entered

Second base0.9 wins, -0.9 vs. league

PlayerAgeShareWinsCost
Jose Altuve3782%0.8$25.0M
Nick Allen2916%0.1~$1.2M est.
Brice Matthews252%0.0about minimum

Third base3.0 wins, +0.8 vs. league

PlayerAgeShareWinsCost
Isaac Paredes2884%2.4not entered
Carlos Correa3316%0.5$33.3M

Shortstop3.0 wins, +0.2 vs. league

PlayerAgeShareWinsCost
Jeremy Peña3084%2.9~$12.3M est.
Nick Allen2915%0.2~$1.2M est.

Left field-0.0 wins, -1.2 vs. league

PlayerAgeShareWinsCost
Taylor Trammell3073%0.0~$1.5M est.
Brice Matthews251%0.0about minimum
Joey Loperfido2826%-0.1about minimum

Center field1.2 wins, -1.2 vs. league

PlayerAgeShareWinsCost
Jorge Barrosa2684%1.0about minimum
Taylor Trammell3016%0.2~$1.5M est.

Right field1.1 wins, -0.2 vs. league

PlayerAgeShareWinsCost
Cam Smith2485%1.2about minimum
Jorge Barrosa266%0.0about minimum
Zach Cole272%0.0about minimum
Joey Loperfido287%0.0about minimum

Designated hitter3.1 wins, +2.6 vs. league

PlayerAgeShareWinsCost
Yordan Alvarez3079%3.1$19.2M
Yainer Diaz2914%0.0~$10.2M est.
Jose Altuve371%0.0$25.0M

Rotation7.5 wins, +0.0 vs. league

PlayerAgeShareWinsCost
Hunter Brown2981%2.2~$9.6M est.
Peter Lambert3078%1.6not entered
Hayden Wesneski3077%1.3~$5.5M est.
Cristian Javier3077%1.0$12.8M
Brandon Walter °3162%1.0~$2.3M est.
Mike Burrows2881%0.5about minimum

Bullpen7.4 wins, -1.1 vs. league °

PlayerAgeShareWinsCost
Josh Hader3385%2.1$19.0M
Bennett Sousa3285%1.3~$5.8M est.
Bryan King3184%1.0about minimum
Logan VanWey °2888%0.8about minimum
Evan Reifert °2888%0.5about minimum
Alimber Santa °2490%0.5about minimum
Tatsuya Imai2987%0.4not entered
Ethan Pecko °2588%0.4about minimum
Miguel Ullola °2559%0.2about minimum
Brandon Walter °3115%0.1~$2.3M est.
Josh Hendrickson °3021%0.1about minimum
Kai-Wei Teng296%0.0about minimum
AJ Blubaugh271%0.0about minimum

Share is of the job at that spot; a rotation or bullpen lists several jobs, so shares can add to more than 100%. A linked cost is a luxury-tax value from public reporting. How to read this.

The information used here was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Interested parties may contact Retrosheet at "www.retrosheet.org". Player ID links come from the Chadwick Baseball Bureau register (Open Data Commons Attribution License). Rosters, transactions, minor league and 2026 statistics, and defensive measures come from MLB sources. We publish only our own derived results. Methods are on the Model page.