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American League East

Tampa Bay Rays

98-64 in 2026, won the division, +86 run differential. Home: Tropicana Field.

The roster as it stands on 2026-11-05, projected for 2027. Preliminary: free agents are off rosters and offseason moves are still to come.

What Stands Out

Data Desk →
Expected wins
76.2
80% range
66–86
Rank
25 of 30
Lost to injury
2.8
Depth value
2.9
Left on table
1.5
Surplus
$182M
Value priced
88%
Committed to 2027
$117.2M
IL days, 2026
1,587 (19th-most)
IL placements, 2026
35
Players used, 2026
48 (20th-most)
Options, 2026
51
Waiver claims, 2026
1

The Long View

Wins by season

The line is this club; the shaded band runs from baseball's fewest wins to its most. 2020 was a 60-game season.

02550751001252000200520102015202020262000: 69 (clubs ranged 65 to 97)2001: 62 (clubs ranged 62 to 116)2002: 55 (clubs ranged 55 to 103)2003: 63 (clubs ranged 43 to 101)2004: 70 (clubs ranged 51 to 105)2005: 67 (clubs ranged 56 to 100)2006: 61 (clubs ranged 61 to 97)2007: 66 (clubs ranged 66 to 96)2008: 97 (clubs ranged 59 to 100)2009: 84 (clubs ranged 59 to 103)2010: 96 (clubs ranged 57 to 97)2011: 91 (clubs ranged 56 to 102)2012: 90 (clubs ranged 55 to 98)2013: 91 (clubs ranged 51 to 97)2014: 77 (clubs ranged 64 to 98)2015: 80 (clubs ranged 63 to 100)2016: 68 (clubs ranged 59 to 103)2017: 80 (clubs ranged 64 to 104)2018: 90 (clubs ranged 47 to 108)2019: 96 (clubs ranged 47 to 107)2020: 40 (clubs ranged 19 to 43)2021: 100 (clubs ranged 52 to 107)2022: 86 (clubs ranged 55 to 111)2023: 99 (clubs ranged 50 to 104)2024: 80 (clubs ranged 41 to 98)2025: 77 (clubs ranged 43 to 97)2026: 98 (clubs ranged 58 to 103)
Source: Roster Memo count of Retrosheet data and MLB standings

Players used by season

Players who appeared for the club; the band is the league's range.

3040506070802000200520102015202020252000: 51 (clubs ranged 36 to 56)2001: 46 (clubs ranged 35 to 53)2002: 43 (clubs ranged 35 to 59)2003: 51 (clubs ranged 34 to 57)2004: 48 (clubs ranged 36 to 58)2005: 43 (clubs ranged 36 to 55)2006: 49 (clubs ranged 37 to 57)2007: 45 (clubs ranged 40 to 54)2008: 46 (clubs ranged 39 to 59)2009: 41 (clubs ranged 41 to 56)2010: 37 (clubs ranged 37 to 57)2011: 42 (clubs ranged 42 to 55)2012: 43 (clubs ranged 38 to 56)2013: 41 (clubs ranged 39 to 56)2014: 43 (clubs ranged 39 to 64)2015: 51 (clubs ranged 40 to 60)2016: 48 (clubs ranged 41 to 60)2017: 53 (clubs ranged 41 to 61)2018: 54 (clubs ranged 41 to 63)2019: 57 (clubs ranged 43 to 67)2020: 43 (clubs ranged 38 to 61)2021: 61 (clubs ranged 45 to 69)2022: 61 (clubs ranged 43 to 68)2023: 58 (clubs ranged 41 to 66)2024: 54 (clubs ranged 44 to 70)2025: 56 (clubs ranged 44 to 71)
Source: Roster Memo count of Retrosheet data

Player-days on the injured list

Counted from transactions; the band is the league's range. The 10-day list began in 2017.

01,0002,0003,0004,0002015202020262015: 1,658 (clubs ranged 483 to 2,123)2016: 772 (clubs ranged 437 to 2,606)2017: 2,190 (clubs ranged 367 to 2,386)2018: 1,575 (clubs ranged 826 to 2,304)2019: 1,650 (clubs ranged 684 to 2,533)2020: 477 (clubs ranged 124 to 1,270)2021: 2,123 (clubs ranged 837 to 3,155)2022: 2,784 (clubs ranged 926 to 3,560)2023: 1,464 (clubs ranged 684 to 2,409)2024: 1,423 (clubs ranged 697 to 2,076)2025: 1,578 (clubs ranged 412 to 2,625)2026: 1,587 (clubs ranged 360 to 2,374)
Source: Roster Memo count of MLB transactions

Next Up

PlayerAgeLevelRoleProj. wins
Theo Gillen22AAHitter1.6
Austin Overn24AAHitter1.5
Caden Bodine24AAHitter1.5
Xavier Isaac24AAHitter1.3
Jake Woodford31AAAPitcher1.1
Justyn-Henry Malloy27AAAHitter1.0
Derrick Edington28AAPitcher1.0
Cam Hill33AAAPitcher1.0

Best-projected Triple-A and Double-A players in the organization who aren't on the 40-man, in wins per 600 PA or 150 IP. Thin samples are regressed hard.

Where the Money Goes

2027 cost tierPlayersCommitted
Contracts1$7.5M
Arbitration (est.)21$98.7M
Near the minimum14$10.9M
Not yet priced3–

Luxury-tax values where we have a sourced contract; arbitration figures are our estimates.

Biggest Weak Spots

Upgrade Board →
Spotvs. leagueFree agent optionWins gainedMarket est.
Shortstop-2.7Miguel Rojas+2.1$25.7M
Mauricio Dubón+2.0$24.7M
J.P. Crawford+1.9$23.7M
Center field-1.2Trent Grisham+1.8$34.2M
Tyrone Taylor+0.5$18.7M
Luis Robert Jr.+0.5$19.0M
Left field-1.1Ian Happ+1.9$20.6M
Randy Arozarena+1.9$21.0M
Taylor Ward+1.8$19.4M

Already on the roster: Liam Hicks over Nick Fortes (C); Ben Williamson over Taylor Walls (SS). Projected at least a win better at the plate; defense isn't weighed.

Options are inferred from recent transactions, so some may have signed elsewhere. Wins gained are cut to 90%, a factor tested on bench players and assumed here. Market estimates price projected wins at $10.8M each, not what a player would actually sign for.

The Depth Chart

Catcher1.9 wins, -1.0 vs. league

PlayerAgeShareWinsCost
Liam Hicks2831%1.0about minimum
Nick Fortes3168%0.8~$5.5M est.
Kenny Piper °291%0.0about minimum

First base2.0 wins, +0.7 vs. league

PlayerAgeShareWinsCost
Jonathan Aranda2984%1.9~$8.4M est.
Liam Hicks2814%0.1about minimum
Ryan Vilade282%0.0~$1.6M est.

Second base1.0 wins, -0.8 vs. league

PlayerAgeShareWinsCost
Richie Palacios3084%0.9~$3.9M est.
Ben Williamson2716%0.1about minimum

Third base3.5 wins, +1.4 vs. league

PlayerAgeShareWinsCost
Junior Caminero2486%3.4~$7.4M est.
Ben Williamson2713%0.1about minimum

Shortstop0.2 wins, -2.7 vs. league

PlayerAgeShareWinsCost
Carson Williams2416%0.2about minimum
Taylor Walls3184%0.0~$780K est.

Left field0.0 wins, -1.1 vs. league

PlayerAgeShareWinsCost
Ryan Vilade2825%0.2~$1.6M est.
Victor Mesa Jr.261%0.0about minimum
Chandler Simpson2774%-0.1about minimum

Center field1.1 wins, -1.2 vs. league

PlayerAgeShareWinsCost
Jonny DeLuca2984%1.0~$2.1M est.
Chandler Simpson2716%0.1about minimum

Right field1.3 wins, -0.1 vs. league

PlayerAgeShareWinsCost
Victor Mesa Jr.2683%1.2about minimum
Ryan Vilade289%0.1~$1.6M est.
Jack Suwinski293%0.0~$780K est.
Jonny DeLuca296%0.0~$2.1M est.

Designated hitter0.8 wins, +0.3 vs. league

PlayerAgeShareWinsCost
Yandy Díaz3677%0.8not entered
Liam Hicks2817%0.0about minimum

Rotation8.6 wins, +1.1 vs. league

PlayerAgeShareWinsCost
Drew Rasmussen3277%2.2in review
Griffin Jax3378%2.2~$14.1M est.
Ian Seymour2981%1.6about minimum
Shane McClanahan3077%1.5~$9.9M est.
Ryan Pepiot3078%1.1~$4.7M est.

Bullpen8.0 wins, -0.5 vs. league

PlayerAgeShareWinsCost
Edwin Uceta2988%1.6~$10.4M est.
Bryan Baker3384%1.3~$8.3M est.
Kevin Kelly3084%1.1~$2.3M est.
Cole Sulser3785%0.9~$6.1M est.
Tyler Wells3385%0.8~$5.1M est.
Manuel Rodríguez °3184%0.6~$4.0M est.
Casey Legumina3085%0.5~$1.2M est.
Ty Johnson °2688%0.5about minimum
Garrett Cleavinger3367%0.4not entered
Alexander Alberto °2633%0.2about minimum
Joe Boyle2811%0.1~$780K est.
Alex Cook °262%0.0about minimum

Share is of the job at that spot; a rotation or bullpen lists several jobs, so shares can add to more than 100%. A linked cost is a luxury-tax value from public reporting. How to read this.

The information used here was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Interested parties may contact Retrosheet at "www.retrosheet.org". Player ID links come from the Chadwick Baseball Bureau register (Open Data Commons Attribution License). Rosters, transactions, minor league and 2026 statistics, and defensive measures come from MLB sources. We publish only our own derived results. Methods are on the Model page.