Change · Athletics
The Athletics went 64-98 in 2026. The model projects 80 wins for 2027, a 16-win rise.
- 2026 record
- 64-98
- Run differential
- -238
- 2027 expected
- 79.7
- Change
- +15.7
The Athletics went 64-98 in 2026 with a -238 run differential.
Their 699 runs scored and 937 allowed point to about 60 wins, so they won 4 more games than their run totals suggest.
For 2027 the model projects 79.7 wins, with an 80% range of 70 to 90. Its strongest spot is first base (+1.7 wins against the average club) and its weakest is rotation (-1.7).
Projections pull every club toward the middle, and the 2027 roster doesn't yet include free agents, trades or players returning from injury.
| Position | Projected wins | vs. league |
|---|---|---|
| First base | 3.0 | +1.7 |
| Catcher | 4.3 | +1.4 |
| Designated hitter | 1.1 | +0.6 |
| Left field | 1.6 | +0.5 |
| Center field | 2.6 | +0.2 |
| Shortstop | 2.9 | +0.0 |
| Right field | 1.3 | -0.1 |
| Third base | 1.6 | -0.6 |
| Second base | 0.8 | -1.0 |
| Bullpen | 7.0 | -1.4 |
| Rotation | 5.8 | -1.7 |