Change · Chicago Cubs
The Chicago Cubs went 89-73 in 2026. The model projects 76 wins for 2027, a 13-win drop.
- 2026 record
- 89-73
- Run differential
- +147
- 2027 expected
- 76.2
- Change
- -12.8
The Chicago Cubs went 89-73 in 2026 with a +147 run differential.
Their 850 runs scored and 703 allowed point to about 95 wins, so they won 6 fewer games than their run totals suggest.
For 2027 the model projects 76.2 wins, with an 80% range of 66 to 86. Its strongest spot is center field (+2.1 wins against the average club) and its weakest is rotation (-3.7).
Projections pull every club toward the middle, and the 2027 roster doesn't yet include free agents, trades or players returning from injury.
| Position | Projected wins | vs. league |
|---|---|---|
| Center field | 4.5 | +2.1 |
| Third base | 3.2 | +1.1 |
| Second base | 2.7 | +0.9 |
| Shortstop | 3.2 | +0.4 |
| First base | 1.6 | +0.3 |
| Left field | 0.6 | -0.6 |
| Designated hitter | -0.5 | -1.0 |
| Bullpen | 7.5 | -1.0 |
| Right field | 0.2 | -1.2 |
| Catcher | 1.6 | -1.3 |
| Rotation | 3.8 | -3.7 |
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