Paradox · San Diego Padres
The San Diego Padres project 19th in wins with the 8th-largest 2027 commitment.
- Expected wins
- 78.9
- Win rank
- 19th
- Committed
- $155M
- Payroll rank
- 8th
The San Diego Padres project for 78.9 wins, 19th in baseball, with $155M committed to 2027, the 8th-largest total.
56% of their projected value comes from players near the league minimum or in arbitration, against 71% for the average club. That share ranks 23rd in baseball.
Their biggest projected contributors: Jackson Merrill, 4.0 wins at about the minimum; Fernando Tatis Jr., 3.8 wins at $24M; Mason Miller, 3.6 wins at about $8M, estimated.
On our estimates, that adds up to about $176M in surplus value, 23rd in baseball.
| Player | Wins | Cost |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Merrill | 4.0 | about the minimum |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 3.8 | $24M |
| Mason Miller | 3.6 | about $8M, estimated |
| Manny Machado | 2.5 | $32M |
| Xander Bogaerts | 2.4 | $25M |
| Bradgley Rodriguez | 2.3 | about the minimum |
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